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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+3.06vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+4.94vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+2.49vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+3.94vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+2.10vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-2.95vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-1.46vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-4.98vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.52-1.35vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.70vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-4.22vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.35-1.00vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.63-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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5.05Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.78Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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14.0Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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10.42Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 9.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 55.7% |
| Abby Preston | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.