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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+7.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.35vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.05vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.43vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83-0.10vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41+3.80vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-0.97vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.22vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.35+3.66vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-2.58vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.01-6.71vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.33-2.07vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.63-4.16vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.98-2.86vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.05Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.9Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.03Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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13.66Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.93Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.84Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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12.14Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.64Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 9.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 46.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| Abby Preston | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 4.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.