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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+7.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.20vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.83vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-0.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.50vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+0.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.63+1.84vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41+1.64vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98+2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-2.38vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.33-1.07vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-3.45vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.35-0.42vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-5.40vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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5.2Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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5.77Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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4.95Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.84Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.08Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.93Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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13.58Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.3% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Abby Preston | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Camille Matile | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 17.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 43.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.