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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.97vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.77vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.67vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+3.51vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+1.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.72vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+0.51vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98+2.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.33-0.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-6.22vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-5.94vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-3.44vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.63-4.99vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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4.97Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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5.77Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.67Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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12.1Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.56Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.01Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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13.76Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 9.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Camille Matile | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 7.8% |
| Abby Preston | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.