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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+5.64vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.72vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65+6.44vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.50+5.97vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-1.21vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.76+3.07vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.01+4.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University4.07-0.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-4.23vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.17-3.20vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.77+0.57vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.50-3.17vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston4.34-7.29vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.33-4.14vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-1.87vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-11.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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10.44Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.97Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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4.79Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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10.07Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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13.57Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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10.83Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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15.13Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.4% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 11.6% |
| Robert Vann | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Stokes | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 21.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% |
| Blair Davis | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 16.9% | 39.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.