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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.07vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.76vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+6.12vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.17vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.34+4.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.21vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.58+1.88vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-0.91vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-2.60vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.66vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.99vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.24+1.84vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-8.12vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-4.27vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.30-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.76Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.17Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.88Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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14.84Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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5.88Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.73Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 8.2% |
| Amina Brown | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 70.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 7.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.