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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+5.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.72vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+3.22vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+4.99vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+6.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+2.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.48vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56+0.42vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-3.24vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.01vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.90vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-3.29vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.05-3.67vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-5.53vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.72Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.04Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.76Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.33Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.84Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 7.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 2.8% |
| Amina Brown | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 3.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.