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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.90vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+6.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.40vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+4.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+0.69vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84-0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.91vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.56vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-4.83vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-4.57vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-6.41vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-2.64vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-4.88vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.4Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.03Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.59Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.36Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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14.98Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 3.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 23.7% | 8.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 4.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.