← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.34+8.64vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.96+5.47vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.35+3.14vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.01vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.21+1.74vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.01+1.47vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.49+2.38vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.05-0.89vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.69vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.79vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.56-1.98vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.58-3.03vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.30-3.02vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College0.24+0.91vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.84-6.88vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University1.86-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.64Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.47University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
6.14Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
6.74Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
7.47Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.38Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
-
7.11Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.02Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
8.97Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.98Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
14.91Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.12Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
11.52Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Amina Brown | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 2.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 4.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 72.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.