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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+6.27vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+2.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.23vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+2.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84-0.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.37vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-1.05vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-1.42vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.30-2.22vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.58-4.26vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-5.22vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.62vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.94Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.02Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.76Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.58Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.38Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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14.92Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.3% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 8.3% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.