← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.56+7.69vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.34+7.51vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.65vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.35+2.16vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.49+4.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.96+1.45vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.30+2.88vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.18vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.05-1.96vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.82vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.54-2.07vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.84-4.14vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.58-4.24vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.86-2.84vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.87-7.18vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College0.24-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.69Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
9.51Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
5.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
6.16Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.18Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.45University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.88Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
5.82University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.04Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
8.93Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
7.86Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
8.76Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.16Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
7.82Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
-
14.92Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.4% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Amina Brown | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 1.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 8.4% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 73.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.