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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+5.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.97vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.17vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+5.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01+1.28vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-0.40vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.06vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.54vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-2.18vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-2.40vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.30-3.27vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.24+0.82vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.65vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.97Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.6Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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14.82Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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11.35Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.74Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.2% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 70.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 8.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.