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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+4.92vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+6.98vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+3.57vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+2.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.26vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01+0.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.45vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.11vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-1.06vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-1.42vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-3.18vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.05-2.38vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.30-4.33vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.62vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.58Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.62Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.38Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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14.91Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 2.7% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 5.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 3.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 8.4% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.