← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.61vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.35+3.96vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.01+4.19vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.96+2.43vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.05+1.15vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.49+2.17vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.21-1.61vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.07vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.34-0.26vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.56-2.15vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.86-0.84vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.58-4.27vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.05-3.47vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.30-5.15vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College0.24-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
5.96Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.19Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
7.43University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.15Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.17Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.39Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
5.93University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.74Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.85Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
11.16Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
8.73Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.53Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.85Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
14.92Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 9.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 4.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 2.9% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 10.0% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.