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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.71vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+4.99vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+1.57vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.30vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+2.72vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30+1.65vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+0.01vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.59vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.05-0.45vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-4.76vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-1.79vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-7.07vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.58-6.07vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.72Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.55Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.21Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.93Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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14.91Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte List | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 5.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 8.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.