← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.51+1.21vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+0.76vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire1.24-0.35vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.28-2.61vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.79-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.21University of Vermont2.510.4%1st Place
-
3.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
-
3.65University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
-
2.39Tufts University2.280.3%1st Place
-
3.0Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry O'Brien | 35.4% | 29.0% | 19.8% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Joseph Dragon | 7.7% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 25.5% | 38.6% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 9.9% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 25.8% | 35.4% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 28.9% | 28.5% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 5.9% |
| Tyler Paige | 18.1% | 18.5% | 23.9% | 24.7% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.