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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University2.28+0.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+0.74vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.51-1.83vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.24-1.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Tufts University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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2.17University of Vermont2.510.4%1st Place
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3.64University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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3.01Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 29.5% | 26.6% | 22.8% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Joseph Dragon | 7.7% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 25.1% | 37.8% |
| Henry O'Brien | 36.4% | 29.0% | 19.4% | 11.5% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 9.2% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 25.0% | 35.2% |
| Tyler Paige | 17.2% | 20.9% | 21.3% | 24.7% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.