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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.51+1.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+0.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.28-1.60vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.24-1.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Vermont2.510.4%1st Place
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3.05Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
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2.4Tufts University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.62University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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3.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry O'Brien | 37.4% | 26.7% | 19.6% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Paige | 15.5% | 20.7% | 22.6% | 26.1% | 15.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 30.2% | 26.8% | 22.4% | 14.1% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 8.3% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 25.5% | 33.6% |
| Joseph Dragon | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.