← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Vermont2.51+0.19vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire1.24+0.66vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.28-1.57vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-1.29vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.79-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19University of Vermont2.510.4%1st Place
-
3.66University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
-
2.43Tufts University2.280.3%1st Place
-
3.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
-
3.01Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry O'Brien | 37.4% | 26.8% | 20.5% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 8.4% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 26.3% | 34.3% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 28.7% | 28.4% | 21.2% | 14.6% | 7.1% |
| Joseph Dragon | 8.2% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 24.1% | 37.8% |
| Tyler Paige | 17.3% | 20.6% | 21.6% | 24.8% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.