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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.24+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.51-0.83vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-1.28vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Tufts University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.67University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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2.17University of Vermont2.510.4%1st Place
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3.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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3.02Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 29.8% | 26.8% | 22.2% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 8.6% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 26.0% | 35.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 36.2% | 29.1% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Joseph Dragon | 8.6% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 24.5% | 37.8% |
| Tyler Paige | 16.8% | 21.1% | 21.5% | 24.6% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.