Race 5A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tom Charpentier 3.2% 3.4% 5.5% 6.0% 8.7% 10.3% 13.8% 22.2% 17.4% 9.5%
Ian Donahue 10.7% 14.6% 14.2% 14.9% 15.8% 13.0% 9.5% 5.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Michael Rush 43.7% 28.5% 14.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Beery 6.8% 9.1% 12.5% 14.6% 16.1% 15.6% 11.5% 9.5% 3.8% 0.5%
Ryan Byrne 6.6% 8.4% 10.1% 12.0% 13.1% 16.0% 15.3% 10.4% 6.3% 1.8%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 16.8% 16.8% 17.4% 17.3% 14.1% 8.8% 5.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.9% 12.3% 17.0% 15.8% 13.9% 14.0% 12.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
Natalie Fohl 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 3.2% 2.9% 4.7% 7.4% 11.5% 26.3% 40.5%
Christopher Hulse 2.8% 4.3% 4.8% 5.3% 8.0% 11.8% 16.9% 20.9% 16.1% 9.1%
John Fonte 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 2.6% 3.9% 4.8% 7.9% 12.6% 26.1% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.