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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+1.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.51-1.82vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.24-1.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Tufts University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.03Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
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2.18University of Vermont2.510.4%1st Place
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3.62University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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3.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 28.4% | 27.9% | 21.7% | 14.5% | 7.5% |
| Tyler Paige | 16.3% | 20.2% | 23.4% | 24.5% | 15.6% |
| Henry O'Brien | 37.7% | 26.7% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 8.9% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 25.5% | 33.9% |
| Joseph Dragon | 8.7% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 23.5% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.