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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.51-0.84vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79-0.99vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.24-1.36vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Tufts University2.280.3%1st Place
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2.16University of Vermont2.510.4%1st Place
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3.01Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
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3.64University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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3.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 29.7% | 26.5% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 7.5% |
| Henry O'Brien | 36.6% | 27.8% | 21.4% | 11.0% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Paige | 16.8% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 24.1% | 15.3% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 8.1% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 24.7% | 34.7% |
| Joseph Dragon | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.