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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+1.41vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.66+2.31vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.66-0.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.89vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.12+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.33-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.48-0.92vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Tufts University2.230.3%1st Place
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3.41University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.31Fairfield University0.660.0%1st Place
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3.46Northeastern University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.2%1st Place
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6.15Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.83University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.95Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 29.1% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 14.3% | 21.0% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Mateus Guimaraes | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 2.8% |
| Kurran Singh | 17.2% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 23.1% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 19.4% | 9.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 5.9% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 30.2% | 24.7% |
| Earl Lin | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 18.5% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.