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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.89vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+5.29vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+1.59vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.90+6.93vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.63+3.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+2.72vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+2.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.09-1.47vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-3.73vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.43+2.98vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-2.28vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.48+0.93vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.67-5.04vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.55+2.88vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-6.29vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.77-4.30vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.50-8.04vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.29-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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10.93Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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5.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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12.98Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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12.93Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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16.88University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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11.7Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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13.12Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 7.5% |
| Frederick Whitman | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 7.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Linda Codega | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 70.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.