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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+1.70vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.66+3.43vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University0.12+3.19vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.66-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.33+0.67vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.87vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.48+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-4.68vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Tufts University2.230.3%1st Place
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5.43Fairfield University0.660.0%1st Place
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6.19Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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3.49Northeastern University1.660.2%1st Place
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5.67University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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3.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.2%1st Place
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7.09University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.32University of Rhode Island1.830.2%1st Place
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7.98Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 29.6% | 22.0% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mateus Guimaraes | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 2.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 9.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 16.7% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Judas Taylor | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 6.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 19.9% | 21.9% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 30.1% | 23.2% |
| Peter Girard | 18.7% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 19.6% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.