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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+1.37vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.29+2.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.40vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83-1.15vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-0.24+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.33-0.39vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.59-1.91vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.59-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Tufts University2.230.4%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Rhode Island1.830.2%1st Place
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6.5Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.61University of New Hampshire0.330.1%1st Place
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5.09Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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6.94Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 36.0% | 26.9% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Donal Ryan | 10.1% | 13.5% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Dawson | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Peter Girard | 24.3% | 24.5% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 22.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Brian Daley | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 3.9% |
| David Tampellini | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 22.9% | 28.4% |
| Corie Fay | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 22.8% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.