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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+1.09vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.29+0.86vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.33+0.48vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.59-0.92vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.24-0.35vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.59-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Tufts University2.230.3%1st Place
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3.09University of Rhode Island1.830.2%1st Place
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3.86Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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5.48University of New Hampshire0.330.1%1st Place
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5.08Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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6.65Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.94Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 34.6% | 25.7% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 20.7% | 23.9% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Donal Ryan | 13.7% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Dawson | 10.4% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Judas Taylor | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 9.3% |
| Brian Daley | 7.2% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 3.9% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 24.1% | 19.8% |
| David Tampellini | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 28.5% |
| Corie Fay | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.