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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+1.96vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.29+1.98vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.43+3.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23-1.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.73vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.24+0.56vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.59-1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.59-0.81vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.33-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Rhode Island1.830.2%1st Place
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3.98Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.95Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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2.33Tufts University2.230.4%1st Place
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4.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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6.56Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.15Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.62University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Girard | 24.5% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Donal Ryan | 10.7% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| David Tampellini | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 22.7% | 28.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 36.4% | 25.6% | 18.7% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dawson | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 19.5% |
| Brian Daley | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Corie Fay | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 35.5% |
| Judas Taylor | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.