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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+1.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+0.49vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.24+3.68vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-0.43+2.84vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.73vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.29-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.59+0.21vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.59-2.85vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.33-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Rhode Island1.830.2%1st Place
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2.49Tufts University2.230.3%1st Place
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6.68Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.84Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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3.83Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.15Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.58University of New Hampshire0.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Girard | 24.1% | 21.8% | 21.6% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 31.0% | 28.3% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 22.0% | 22.3% |
| David Tampellini | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 26.2% |
| Christopher Dawson | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Donal Ryan | 14.0% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Corie Fay | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 23.0% | 35.1% |
| Brian Daley | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 4.7% |
| Judas Taylor | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.