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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.93vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+3.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+5.92vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.50+4.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+1.55vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.14vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-2.53vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.63+0.19vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.30+0.55vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.43+2.96vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-2.24vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29+1.50vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.77-1.53vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.55+1.95vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-7.18vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.93-9.72vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.48-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.7Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.19Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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12.96Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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13.5Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.47Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.76Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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16.95University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.28College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.52Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| David Thompson | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.5% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Walker Banks | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 5.7% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 24.2% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 1.0% |
| Linda Codega | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 73.8% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.