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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.44vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+1.57vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.61+6.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis1.94+1.97vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.81-0.57vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.55-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-0.75vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.35-3.11vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.88-5.66vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.61-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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10.52California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Davis1.940.1%1st Place
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4.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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8.29Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
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10.52California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 40.2% | 28.2% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 10.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 36.4% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 36.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.