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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.50vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.89vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.61+5.39vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.88+1.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis1.940.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.62-0.02vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.55-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-0.76vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.61-0.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.81-4.81vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.35-4.13vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
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4.5University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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4.89California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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10.39California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Davis1.940.1%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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8.26Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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10.39California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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7.19University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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8.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 41.1% | 25.4% | 16.5% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 11.0% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.