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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.88+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.51vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.61+6.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis1.94+1.99vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.81+0.32vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+0.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.33vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.62-2.10vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands2.77-6.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.35-3.17vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.55-4.68vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.61-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
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7.24University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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10.53California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Davis1.940.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.32University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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4.74California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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8.83University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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8.32Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.53California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 40.7% | 25.5% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 10.9% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.4% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.