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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.52vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93+0.66vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.61+5.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81+1.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+2.28vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.32-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis1.94-1.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.35-1.22vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.55-2.94vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-3.15vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.61-2.57vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.62-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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5.04California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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10.43California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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7.48University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Davis1.940.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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8.06Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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10.43California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 41.7% | 23.4% | 17.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.