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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+2.58vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+7.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis1.94+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.52vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.32-0.94vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.81-1.38vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.35-1.25vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.55-2.98vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.32vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.62-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
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4.58University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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10.68California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Davis1.940.0%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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4.89California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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8.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.62University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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8.02Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.68California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 39.6% | 27.9% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 11.5% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 12.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.