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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.27vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.81+2.16vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61+4.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis1.94-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.88-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.31-0.19vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.41vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-2.99vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.55-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.35-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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4.78California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.16University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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10.41California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Davis1.940.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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10.41California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.25Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 32.0% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 13.2% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 34.5% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 34.5% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.