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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.47vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+2.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.36vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.47+2.71vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.73+0.72vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.57vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+0.50vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.88-0.25vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.35-2.97vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.28+1.72vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.02-0.23vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.58+0.19vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17+1.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.42-4.49vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.06-4.05vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California-0.48-3.65vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0512.4%1st Place
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4.95Georgetown University2.2013.8%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.2%1st Place
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6.71San Diego State University1.477.6%1st Place
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5.72Boston College1.7311.4%1st Place
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5.39Fordham University1.9812.6%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.8%1st Place
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8.5George Washington University1.075.0%1st Place
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8.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.884.5%1st Place
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7.03Tulane University1.357.1%1st Place
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12.72University of Washington-0.281.1%1st Place
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11.77Northwestern University-0.021.8%1st Place
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13.19University of California at Berkeley-0.581.1%1st Place
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15.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.170.6%1st Place
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10.51University of California at San Diego0.422.4%1st Place
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11.95University of Washington-0.062.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Southern California-0.481.4%1st Place
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16.16California State University Channel Islands-1.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aston Smith | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Owen Cuyler | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alice Meng | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 5.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 24.1% | 23.7% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Brent Lin | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.