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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+3.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+5.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.69vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+1.29vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.30+4.54vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+7.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.68vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.77+3.54vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.93-1.93vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-2.14vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.63-3.33vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-1.98vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.43-1.46vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-6.92vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.48-3.24vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-0.01vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.50-9.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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5.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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13.28Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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11.54Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.67Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.02Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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12.54Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.76Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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16.99University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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8.63Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 16.0% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 7.6% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Frederick Whitman | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Walker Banks | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 5.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 5.4% |
| Linda Codega | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 74.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.