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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.32+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.81+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.35+2.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis1.94-0.02vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.40vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.40vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University1.55-1.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-1.79vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands2.77-7.26vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-4.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.31-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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6.06University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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7.45University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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4.38University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Davis1.940.1%1st Place
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10.4California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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10.4California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.21Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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4.74California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 30.8% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.9% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.