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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.84vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.32+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis1.94+1.95vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61+4.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.31+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.93-3.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.81-2.58vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.55-3.01vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-3.25vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.61-2.61vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine1.35-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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2.84Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Davis1.940.1%1st Place
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10.39California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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7.42University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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7.99Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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10.39California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 31.3% | 22.3% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 12.2% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.7% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.