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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.81+6.42vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93+0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32+0.91vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.55+2.09vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77-2.27vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis1.94-1.81vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.42vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.61-0.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.31-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.57vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine1.35-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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2.86Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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8.09Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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4.73California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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10.42California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Davis1.940.0%1st Place
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8.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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10.42California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 29.5% | 24.0% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 13.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.2% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.