← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.70+1.89vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego1.81+5.48vs Predicted
-
3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.88vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.93+0.45vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.70vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.31+2.78vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay0.61+3.35vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis1.94-1.01vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii2.32-2.90vs Predicted
-
10Santa Clara University1.55-1.82vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.63vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine1.35-3.19vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-3.57vs Predicted
-
14California State University Monterey Bay0.61-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
-
7.48University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
4.88California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
4.45University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
-
4.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
-
8.78University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
-
10.35California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.99University of California at Davis1.940.1%1st Place
-
6.1University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.18Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
-
8.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.81University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
9.43University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
10.35California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 28.8% | 22.7% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.2% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 14.9% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 35.1% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 35.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.