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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.80vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.49vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.56+3.40vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.42+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.39-0.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.83-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.28vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.60vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
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4.68University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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7.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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9.4California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.13Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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9.78University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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9.4California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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10.03California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 37.5% | 25.8% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.9% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 14.3% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 18.3% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.