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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.65vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.42+3.19vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.56+4.21vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.33vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.44vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.56-1.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.83-3.55vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.39-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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7.19Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.21California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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8.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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9.21California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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9.98California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.91University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 38.7% | 27.8% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 13.2% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.4% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.