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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.40vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07+6.66vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.73+2.93vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.41vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98-0.68vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University1.47-0.17vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.35-0.88vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-4.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-2.56vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.42-0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.28+0.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.58+0.38vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.02-2.01vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17-0.05vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.06-4.05vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.54-0.97vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California-0.48-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0512.0%1st Place
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8.66George Washington University1.074.5%1st Place
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5.93Boston College1.739.3%1st Place
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8.54California Poly Maritime Academy0.884.6%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.0%1st Place
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5.32Fordham University1.9812.9%1st Place
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6.83San Diego State University1.478.5%1st Place
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7.12Tulane University1.357.6%1st Place
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4.78Georgetown University2.2015.0%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.3%1st Place
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10.41University of California at San Diego0.422.5%1st Place
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12.59University of Washington-0.281.8%1st Place
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13.38University of California at Berkeley-0.580.8%1st Place
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11.99Northwestern University-0.022.1%1st Place
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14.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.170.6%1st Place
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11.95University of Washington-0.061.9%1st Place
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16.03California State University Channel Islands-1.540.3%1st Place
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13.28University of Southern California-0.481.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Alice Meng | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 8.8% |
| Cole Abbott | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 24.6% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 46.6% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.