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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.05vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.56+5.38vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.83+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-2.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.92-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.40vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.79vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.62vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.39-3.09vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.37-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
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3.64University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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9.38California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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6.98Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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4.49University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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9.38California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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9.91University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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9.96California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 40.8% | 24.3% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.3% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 11.8% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.