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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.20vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.56+4.55vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-0.87vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.97vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University0.59+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71-2.34vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.32vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.39-2.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.83-5.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.92-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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8.55California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.97California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.26Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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8.55California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 33.5% | 28.7% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.8% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 13.3% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.