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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+2.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+1.57vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.56+4.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.92+2.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.71-0.27vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University0.59+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-4.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.33vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.83-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.39-3.06vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.56-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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2.44Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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8.56California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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8.29Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.99University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.87California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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8.56California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 20.1% | 19.1% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 33.6% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 11.0% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 15.4% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.