← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.92+2.21vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.62vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.44-0.59vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.47+0.09vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine1.71+0.76vs Predicted
-
6Santa Clara University0.59+2.48vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.54vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.56+0.45vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis0.83-1.23vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.30vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.39-2.03vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.00vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay0.56-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
4.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
-
2.41Stanford University3.440.4%1st Place
-
4.09University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.76University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
-
8.48Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
7.54University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.45California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.77University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
-
7.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.97University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
9.0California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.45California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 20.7% | 20.6% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 36.6% | 25.4% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.