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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-1.79vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University0.59+1.35vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+0.89vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56-0.51vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.83-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.11vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.39-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Stanford University3.440.3%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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3.32University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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7.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.35Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.89California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.49California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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8.49California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 32.5% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 16.1% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.4% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.